Table 3 Probabilities \({\pi }_{n}\) of clusters exceeding various sizes in at least one batch among all those administered in the United States as a function of estimated incidence assuming that the number of batches \(M=\mathrm{21,428}\)
Number of infections (n) | Incidence | |
|---|---|---|
0.02% (1 in 5000) | 0.05% (1 in 2000) | |
\(\ge 2\) | 0.871362606 | 0.99999678 |
\(\ge 3\) | 0.009256645 | 0.132251914 |
\(\ge 4\) | 0.000031070 | 0.001194968 |